The world's largest political risk -professional chairman, "South Korea should not be obsessed with the end of the war ... Improvement of Japan -Korea relations is ahead" = Korean coverage (image provision: Wowkorea)
On April 12, last year (local time), the US White House.President Joe Biden, who presided over the semiconductor supply network, appealed for attack investment by attending Samsung Electronics, TSMC, Intel, Micron, and others.In addition, the substantial meaning of this "attack investment" was "investing in the United States, not China."The United States has not been interested in the production of semiconductors since the 2000s.We focused on the semiconductor design field where many profits increase.Qualcomm is a typical example.However, it seems that suddenly embarking on production is one symbol.This is because the semiconductor supply network has been switched to a "security" problem that is not an "economy".The person led the meeting was also Assistant Jake Sullivan.I guess Samsung Electronics and others are gradually realizing that the economy is going to security.As a result, elaborate diplomacy has been a condition for South Korea, which is sandwiched between the United States and China.There are many evaluations that the spirit of the presidential election in March this year is how to solve the “economic security” issue."South Korea needs to be interested in many issues outside the Korean Peninsula. This is the most important role of the next president," Chairman Ian Bremar, the world's largest political risk -specialized consulting company, "Eurasian Group" (52)This is the case if the advice of this is summarized in one party.South Korea, which is geopolitically vulnerable, is in danger of not knowing when to drift, if neglected the issue of foreign economic security.Korea's online media "Eldey" conducted a special interview with Bremar on the 20th (local time) last month, the end of the year (local time).Premer is not tied to a specific philosophy and is considered an international political master who is famous for giving realistic advice to major governments and corporate leaders.The Korean government is also seeking advisory as well as other governments.◇ "It is a strict reality that Korea could not participate in the quad" -The concept of global economic security is increasing.This is the case from the △ (in the Indian Pacific region) quad (Quad/Japan, the United States, India, and Australia in four countries).Diplomacy between four countries, including securing a new colona vaccine, raising funds for new infrastructure projects, sharing military security, and sharing confidential information.-South Korea is sandwiched between the US middle.△ There is no doubt about the importance of Economic Relations, which South Korea has linked to China.China is also important in security on the Korean Peninsula.As a Korean position, you don't want to be in a position where you can't cooperate with China anymore (because you have to choose one).Unfortunately, the Chinese issue was a major challenge during the U.S. -South Korean summit meeting last May (the opinions did not match well).-South Korea is worried.△ South Korea has the risk of being unable to join the US -centered inner circle by choosing either the United States and China.For example, South Korea does not support President Biden's diplomatic boycott for the Beijing Winter Olympics.It is a action that is contrary to the close relationship between the United States and the Allies.-South Korea is planning to election in March this year.△ (about entering a US -centered economic security inner circle or maintaining the current diplomatic tone) (about Japan) this year's presidential election.-What if you give a real advice to the next administration?△ The United States sees South Korea as a very important country.As you can see from the fact that the U.S. Earth Army is stationed.South Korea's economic success and cultural power are well known.Last year, he achieved great results in songs, movies and dramas.However, it is a reality that Korea could not participate in the quad.South Korea must find a way to participate in the quad.-What should I do?△ It is difficult to add only one country to four countries.Therefore, it is possible that Canada and South Korea can join at the same time.Canada is also a country that must enter the quad.But there is a premise.It is not easy until Korea improves the relationship with Japan.-How do you see the improvement of Japan -Korea relations?△ The most important issue for the next Korean President is to improve Japan -Korea relations.(The Northeast Asian policy in the United States is always based on the triangular composition of Japan and the United States and Korea.) Japan and South Korea are the most important Asian allies in the United States, but the relationship between the two countries is not good.(Japan and South Korea had no case of improvement of this relationship after the "Japan -Korea Joint Declaration" in 1998.△ There is a problem that is more important for young people in both countries.Climate change, new colona, economic system, gender issues, etc.They believe that conventional generations have no ability to solve such problems.This is a part where the two countries are similar.Utilizing this as the power of cooperation is the profit of the two countries.◇ Improvement of Japan -Korea relations, the maximum task of the next administration -Korea is afraid of China's retaliation.△ That's why the quad is important.Quad is powerful because Japan, Australia and India are together.There is something in common that China's influence will increase.-What would you give advice to the next president of Korea?△ It is necessary to pay more attention to problems outside the Korean Peninsula.President Biden is distracted by China and Russia.In the United States, there are problems such as inflation, new Corona, and midterm elections in November this year.There is no room for interest in the Korean Peninsula issue.However, South Korea will be able to deepen his relationship with the United States in the Indian Pacific region that supports the Biden government's diplomatic priority ranking.This is what the next president should do.-The Korean government is focusing on the end of the war.△ The end of the war is just a symbolic one.Rather, if you declare the end of the war, China and North Korea will demand the withdrawal of the US forces in the Korean Peninsula to establish peace.The United States believes that it is an "AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS AS POTEALLY SLIPERY SLOPE."The declaration of the end of the war must be part of a wide range of peace agreements (such as the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula, the agreement to prevent war due to mutual trust, the normalization of US -North Korea diplomatic relations, etc.).-How do the United States see North Korea?△ North Korea's problem is that it has a nucleus.General Kim Jong -un has no intention of seriously negotiating nuclear waste.The 2018 US -North Korea summit meeting (during the Trump administration) failed.There is no reason for President Biden to have a summit meeting with North Korea because the result was not obtained at the summit meeting.-What can Korea do?△ North Korea cannot abandon nuclear weapons unless substantial safety is guaranteed.If Washington and Pyongyang are not intervened, there is not much to do with Korea.◇ What is Chairman Ian Bremar? △ Born in Baltimore, USA, △ Academy of Studies at Turen University, Master of Political Science, Stanford University, △ Stanford University Hoover Research Institute, △ Professor of Columbia University, △ Professor of Columbia.Researcher of World Policy Research Institute, △ US Diplomatic Association member, △ Eurasian Group Chairman (1998)
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