"Medium -Ryomeden seal" correlation map over Ukraine -Military closeness of a standing dew

Written By mobilephonebrand

China and India have abstained, both the UN Security Sanctions and the UN General Assembly Emergency Conference on Emergency Council.India buys weapons from Russia, and the dew is military closely.The danger of the "Japanese -US Australian seal" to the middle siege net quad is reflected.

On February 26 (US time 25th), the United Nations Security Council (UN Security Council) (15 countries) rejected the resolution to accuse Russia who invaded Ukraine and seek immediate withdrawal.Russia has exercised veto rights, but it should be noted that three countries, China, India, and the UAE (UAE).

On March 2, the UN General Assembly held an emergency special meeting, saying, "Russia's immediate and unconditional withdrawal and unconditional Russian -controlled areas of the Russian army and unconditional Russian -controlled areas.A resolution that requested the withdrawal of independent approval was adopted by the majority of 141 countries.Five countries, Russia, Belarus, Syria, North Korea, and Eritria, opposed, and 35 countries, including China, India or Pakistan, have abstained.

Regarding the reasons for the UAE in the abstained country on February 26, the argument on March 3 on March 31, 2021.As described in the column , the Middle East, including Iraq, the Saudi Arab Captors League, has been over supplying the United States and oil.The anti -biden tendency is increasing, as Trump is particularly promised by Trump's promised weapon exports to the United Arab Emirates that it will temporarily freeze.

The UN's Fighting Resolution on March 2 did not abstain from the United Arab Emirates, but abstained from India.

India is a member of the major members of the "Quad", which consists of the Japanese -US Australian seal, which is one of the core of the siege of the United States, so it is very bad for President Biden to be abstained here.On the other hand, as I have said many times, India is close to the former Soviet Union and Russia, especially with Prime Minister Modi and Putin.

Therefore, even when the climea was annexed in 2014, India has abstained from the resolution of anti -reveal.

さらに「ロシア、中国、インド」だけでなく、今般棄権したパキスタンも、「上海協力機構」のメンバーだ。上海協力機構は、ソ連崩壊後の1996年に中国が、ロシアや中央アジア諸国に呼び掛けて設立させたもので、基本的に「反NATO」という色彩を帯びている。2000年に、アメリカの一極支配やNATOの東方拡大への抵抗を前面に打ち出している。インドやパキスタンは2017年に同時加盟した。

It is impossible to invite such India to quads and place the Indian Pacific strategy at the center of the siege of the siege of China from the beginning.

On the night of March 3, the leaders of the Japanese -US Australian seal quad had an online talks, but the theme was "about the situation in Ukraine in the military invading the military", but in a joint announcement after the talks, "direct reference to Russia".It was not. "I just highlight the danger of Quad.

Therefore, in this paper, we created a correlation diagram of "Chuyoma Seal Pu" (Pakistan), a neighboring country over the Ukrainian problem, as follows.

Chart 1: "Medium -Ryomeda seal" correlation diagram over Ukraine

I would like to deepen my consideration for India, especially in the bird's -eye view of the stake in each country.

India is a country that has imported weapons from the former Soviet Union since the early 1960s, and has not changed since Russia.I would like to show the trends based on the Database on the trading of weapons from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute.Figure 2 was created by picking up the percentage purchased from the "Soviet Union and Russia" from the Indian weapon imports from 1950 to 2020.

Chart 2: The percentage of the former Soviet Union & Russia at the Indian weapon import destination

In the 1960s, the sudden increase in the number of suddenly increasing was that there was a "middle seal war" between China and India from October 20, 1962 to November 21, 1962.As he did, the Soviet Union supported India and began sending weapons to India.During the Soviet conflict, the Soviet Union had the idea of selling weapons to India and sandwiching China to shoot.

However, as shown in Figure 2, the Soviet Union collapsed in December 1991, and even in Russia, the tendency to buy weapons from Russia in India has not changed much.Weapons are not only expensive, but also breaks down, so considering maintenance such as parts replenishment and repair, it is easy to change the purchase destination.

インドのモディ首相とロシアのプーチン大統領の緊密なむつまじさが影響していると中国メディアは解説している。

2019年にロシアからの輸入量が突然減っているのは、パキスタンのテロ組織がインドでテロ事件を起こした時に、トランプ政権で国家安全保障問題担当だったボルトン補佐官が、2019年2月に15日にインドのカウンターパートに電話して、「アメリカはインドの集団的自衛権を支持する」と伝えて、インドにアメリカから武器を購入する方向に持っていったからだ。集団的自衛権を認めたということは、国連決議を経なくても、「一方的にパキスタンに侵攻しても国際法違反にならないように国連安保理でしてあげる」ということを意味する。

たとえば1971年の印パ戦争の時に、旧ソ連が国連安保理理事国としてインドへの制裁に関して拒否権を使ってくれていたので、インドは今もロシア頼みなのだが、ボルトンは「ロシアが拒否権を使わなくても、アメリカが拒否権を使ってあげるから、武器はロシアから買わずにアメリカから買おうね」というシグナルをインドに発したのである。

India was struggling in a war with Pakistan.So I got on Bolton's story at this time.

However, in December 2021, the ground-to-air missile S-400 purchased by India from Russia arrived in India and was trained in Russia in Punjab, India.Was established in February this year (scheduled to be).However, it is said that the missile is not directed to China, but to the nemesis Pakistan.

On March 2, the next Russian ambassador Dennis Alipov, Russia, said, "The delivery of the S-400 missile unit (five units) to India is unlikely to be affected by Russia's sanctions on the invasion of Ukraine." saying.

That's why the military ties of [Russia] cannot be cut off.

The United States is trying to pull India from Russia and pulls it to the United States, but now India has abstained again, so it doesn't seem to work.

Between India and Pakistan, the first (1947), the second (1965), the third (1971), and three seals have been held so far.It's smashed, but it's so famous that I omit it here.

Regarding the middle-aged relationship, I will omit it in detail in the column on March 3 in the terrible scenario drawn by Xi Jinping [Military Cold Significance], but I would like to touch on the ground-to-air missile S-400 like India.。

 ウクライナを巡る「中露米印パ」相関図――際立つ露印の軍事的緊密さ

China made a contract from Russia in 2014 to purchase a ground-to-air missile S-400 and delivered it in October 2017, earlier than the delivery date.This is because in February 2017, Russia delivered in a hurry because China succeeded in manufacturing long-range high altitude missile defense interceptors such as "Red Flag-19" and "Red Flag-26".

On the other hand, in September 2018, the United States, along with the SU-35, has applied the S-400 to the Chinese Central Military Commission Development Department to Russia, etc.Was activated.The sister version of the Chinese Communist Party's "People's Daily" reported on December 25, 2018 that the ultra -speed missile intercept was successful on December 25, 2018.In other words, China has succeeded in manufacturing missiles on its own.

India is not good at weapon manufacturing capacity, so we often import weapons from the former Soviet Union and Russia, but China will study the structure as soon as one is purchased and create a new self -created.It is good.

The United States has added sanctions to China and does not impose sanctions to India, but since India abandoned the Russian sanctions and blame resolutions, the United States considers whether or not to sanction India.New Delhi TV on March 3 reports.

Not only is Nakamushi a war in 1962, but the border conflict at the summit of the Himalayas has been smoldering forever, so the middle seal relationship is not good.The emotions of India's people on China are not particularly good.

From the Chinese side, the Tibetan Dalai Lama issue lies, so the Chinese people's emotions against India are not good.

However, Xi Jinpei and India's Prime Minister Modi often meet, and have met 13 times in face -to -face, at least between July 2014 and November 2019.Of course, video talks and telephone talks are often held other than 13 times, so it can be said that the middle seals have the intention to take them in the direction of improvement.

If you explain all of the talks, it will be too long, so here are the date and time only.

2014-07-15/2014-09-18/2015-05-05-07-07-09/2016-06-2016 /

2016-09-04/2016-09-06-06-09/2018-04-04-06-09 / /

2018-12-01/2019-06- 13/2019-14

As a result, it is unknown what happened in the data.As an example, considering how the middle seal trade has changed from the data on the Indian side, it is as follows.

Chart 3: Changes in the proportion of trade value with China in the total Indian trade amount

Since the Xi Jinping administration, it has been increasing a little, and as far as the data is seen, "Xi Jinping Modi Talk" seems to be no waste.

Pakistan is on good terms with China.Until the Pakistan Corridor in the Belt and Street, the relationship between China and Pakistan suddenly shrinked when the Chui War occurred in 1962.In Pakistan, he fought against India in India, so he moved in the direction of supporting China.The relationship is also appearing in the percentage of Pakistan's weapon import destinations.

As in India, I picked up only China and the United States from a database related to buying and selling weapons at the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (Chart 4).

Until 1962, Pakistan had imported weapons from almost 100 % in the United States, but after 1962, afterwards, afterwards, the Xi Jinpei administration will import overwhelmingly many weapons from China. became.

Chart 4: Ratio and China at Pakistan's weapon import destinations

Therefore, if China abstains from Russian sanctions and blame resolutions, Pakistan will also abstain.

In particular, Russia's Mill MI, who promises that Xi Jinping has called on the Belt and Road and responded enthusiastically, to have a military technical cooperation with Russia in November 2014, in November 2014.-35 I decided to buy a helicopter.There is such a situation behind the drastic decrease in weapons imports from the United States (for this, Masahiro Kurita, a researcher at the Defense Institute and African Laboratory, announced at NIDS Commentary in September 2018 .

Therefore, Pakistan abstained from the Russian blame resolution, but do not overlook the mid -for -minded tricks that have joined India and Pakistan in the Shanghai Cooperation Agency against NATO.

I wrote this many times, so I won't repeat it here.To be strong, Professor Kenjiro Nagagoshi of Takushoku University Institute of Overseas Status, who was quoted in the column , "The second son is 5 million yen per month."We recommend that you read the Abe administration's against Russian diplomacy, which brought out the extraordinary reward from Ukraine.I want to evaluate it again if it is a wonderful analysis.

I wrote this many times, so I will omit it.Most of the Chinese missiles and aircraft carriers have developed Ukrainian engineers after the collapse of the Soviet Union to China.Ukraine's largest trading partner is China.

From the above considerations, "Weapon Merchant America, and Putin, who are crazy about excessive self -security consciousness during the Cold War, as well as the attitude of Xi Jinpei, who is glaring at the economy, emerges.That is,

● The United States and Russia have formed a power balance from the Cold War era of the Cold War.

● China is an economic tie, which is working hard to attract the other country to China.

● That's why Japan should not escape from "political cool heat" and make a sweet face in China and leave trade with China.

Can you say that?

However, Japan's largest trading country is China.

Foreign Minister Hayashi is also a large Japanese friendship member.I want to be careful not to be swallowed by China.