The US presidential election will greatly affect the future of not only our country but also the world. Confusion over postal voting is already expected at this time, but it seems that some countries are aiming to expand their own profits under such circumstances. Mr. Kunihiko Shimada, a former United Nations dispute mediator, wrote in his e-mail magazine "The Last Mediator, Kunihiko Shimada's 'Invincible Negotiation and Communication Skills'". mentioned the possibility of orchestrating an attack on In addition, we consider the measures that the Japanese government should take when faced with such a situation.
Click here for a free trial reading of Kunihiko Shimada's mail magazine, which contains plenty of content other than the articles introduced in the article, such as behind the scenes of international affairs, professional negotiation techniques that can be used immediately, and Q&A.
"The crisis becomes real when people try to read the other person's intentions and start misinterpreting them."
In the words of Canadian historian Dr. Margaret MacMillan.
This word was written from a historical point of view about the cause of the outbreak of conflict, but I can't help but think about the current situation of the intensifying conflict between the United States and China, and the division (blocization) of the world that is induced by it. I think you expressed it beautifully.
Over the past three years, the US-China confrontation has spread to various fields, and apart from finance, it has become an all-out confrontation. Countries were desperate to maintain their position as the third pole between the United States and China. However, with the enforcement of the Hong Kong National Security Law and the “human rights issue” in the Uyghur Autonomous Region, it chose the path of breaking up with China and revived the “European-American alliance”.
In addition to the polarization of the US-China confrontation, the Middle East and Caucasus region, where Turkey and Russia are stirring up, seems to have become another pole of chaos.
As I mentioned earlier, the conflict between the United States and China covers a wide range of sectors, but if I were to narrow it down to three, it would be [communications – the conflict over the development and spread of 5G], [the South China Sea issue], and [Taiwan]. Problem] can be mentioned.
First, [communications - conflict over the development and spread of 5G], this is closely related to the Huawei problem that has been reported repeatedly. Due to bilateral issues between the United States and China, this case involved the Canadian government, which arrested the company's CFO, who is the daughter of the current CEO. Such a communication policy has developed into an international security issue.
Although there are many unknown points about the authenticity, spyware is installed in the base of communication technology such as Huawei mobile phones, mobile terminals, and servers, and it is always used as well as personal information. It is said that it originated from the “suspicion” that national information was being collected by China.
It may be accusatory, or it may be true, but President Trump and his administration have made this information a critical issue in the US-China conflict, making it a top national security issue for the US government and people. successfully gained bipartisan support for fighting China. Therefore, even if the next president becomes Mr. Biden, the conflict with China based on the telecommunications sector will continue and probably will be further strengthened.
The United Kingdom, Germany, France, etc. are considering the economic ties with China and the trade agreement negotiations between China and the EU that were in progress before the corona (and also the aspect of "applying" to President Trump) I think there was), once I was trying to promote the introduction of Huawei in the national 5G strategy.
However, with the outbreak of Corona and the Hong Kong National Security Law, the company changed direction at once, and now supports the elimination of Huawei. Germany and other countries were supportive enough to attract Huawei's first European factory, but they began to exclude it on the condition that "manufacturing and operation in Germany will not be a problem."
Although Japan still has strong consideration for its relationship with China, NTT/KDDI has shown its resolve to fully immerse itself in the [Clean Network] concept that the United States is calling for even under the Kan administration, and will take 5G leadership in Japan. /Softbank/Rakuten, a telecommunications company, and NEC and Fujitsu seem to be the counterparts. In addition, I fully embraced the purpose of the [Clean Pass] (a pass for ensuring the safety of communication between diplomatic missions using 5G). So far, the Chinese government does not seem to have made any particular comments on this "decision", but with regard to the corporate strategy after excluding Chinese products, as China has already fallen behind, it is expected that public and private investment will be made. and diversification of the supply chain (quick break away from dependence on China). In other words, it has become necessary to immediately respond diplomatically and economically to the economic security dynamics and the geopolitical balance of power.
Japan and European countries will have to quickly consider with the new U.S. administration how far the stance of [continuing good relations with China and cooperating and confronting the looming pressure from China] will work. (Thus, any delay in finding out who will be the next president is likely to be very detrimental.)
Click here for a free trial reading of Kunihiko Shimada's mail magazine, which contains plenty of content other than the articles introduced in the article, such as behind the scenes of international affairs, professional negotiation techniques that can be used immediately, and Q&A.
The U.S. and Chinese naval forces are becoming more tense to the point of a touch-and-go situation